What’s causing fewer people to receive tax refunds this year?
Published on January 03, 2024
by Jonathan Rose, EA
Jonathan Rose, an IRS Enrolled Agent with 13 years of expat tax experience, specializes in US tax preparation, tax planning, and tax advice for US citizens and Green Card holders living and working in Australia.
Jonathan also talked about family tax benefits in Australia.
Table of Contents
Several factors contribute to fewer people receiving tax refunds this year. These include tax bracket adjustments, tax law changes, and broader economic shifts such as inflation rates and changes in the labor market.
I want to know more about US taxes abroad
What legislative changes might be influencing tax refunds?
Several legislative changes could be influencing the decline in tax refund sizes:
- Adjustment of Tax Brackets and Rates: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 adjusted tax brackets and rates, which continues to influence tax filings.
- Increase in the Standard Deduction: The TCJA nearly doubled the standard deduction, meaning fewer taxpayers itemize deductions, which affects the size of their tax refunds.
- Cap on State and Local Tax (SALT) Deductions: The $10,000 cap on deductions for state and local taxes came into effect with the TCJA.
- Changes to Child Tax Credit and Earned Income Tax Credit: During the pandemic, credits like the Child Tax Credit (CTC) and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) were temporarily expanded. As these expansions phase out or revert to pre-pandemic levels, the size of refunds may decrease.
- COVID-19 Related Legislation: Various COVID-19 relief measures, including stimulus payments and adjustments to unemployment benefits taxation, temporarily affected tax refunds. As these measures expire, taxpayers may notice differences in their refunds.
How are reduced refunds affecting household budgeting and financial planning?
Reduced refunds are significantly impacting household budgeting and financial planning. Households may need to revise their financial strategies, which could involve adjusting monthly budgets to accommodate lower-than-expected funds, delaying large purchases, or revising savings goals.
What do experts say about future tax seasons?
Experts from economics and tax planning fields predict that tax policies may continue to evolve in response to the economic impacts of the pandemic. This could involve more changes in tax laws to stimulate economic growth or address deficits. Additionally, increasing globalization may cause international economic trends to have a greater impact on domestic tax policies.
Should I hire a tax professional to help me with my refunds?
Yes, hiring a tax professional can be very beneficial. A skilled tax advisor can help identify deductions and credits that expats might not be aware of, which can significantly reduce taxable income and potentially increase the size of your refund.
Additionally, if there are errors in previous years’ tax returns or unfiled taxes, a tax professional can help address these issues, assist in filing amended returns, and negotiate with the IRS to resolve any potential disputes or penalties.
Always get professional advice from a US international tax specialist.